Overview

  • Reviews experimental advancements towards fault-tolerant quantum computation (FTQC)
  • Analyzes physical metrics: coherence times, entanglement error, qubit count
  • Surveys QEC codes with parameters \([[n, k, d]]\)
  • Open-source repository for community updates

Key Challenges

  • Simultaneous progress in qubit performance and QEC needed
  • Platforms: trapped ions, superconducting circuits, neutral atoms, NV centers, semiconductors
  • Exponential trends in improvements over two decades

Platforms and Encoding

  • Trapped ions: hyperfine or optical transitions
  • Superconducting circuits: artificial atoms (transmons, fluxoniums)
  • Neutral atoms: hyperfine ground states, Rydberg interactions
  • NV centers: electron/nuclear spins in diamond
  • Semiconductors: electron/hole spins in quantum dots

Coherence Times

Exponential improvements: doubling times from 0.9y (Se T1) to 5.9y (NA T1)

Entangled State Error

Error halving times: 1.2y (semiconductor spins) to 2.6y (superconducting circuits)

Qubit Count

Doubling times: 1.4y (neutral atoms) to 5.0y (ion traps)

Defining Utility Scale

  • Working definition:
    • Physical Qubit Count (PQC) of 10,000
    • Entanglement Error (EE) below 0.1% (factor of 10 below surface code threshold)
  • Projections based on exponential trends in EE halving and PQC doubling times

Caveats:

  • Simplification
  • Assumes trends continue
  • True utility depends on additional factors like logical fidelity and gate speeds

Projected Timelines by Platform

  • Projections estimate when platforms might reach utility thresholds
  • Neutral atoms lead due to rapid scaling
Platform Best EE Best EE Year EE Halving Time (years) Projected EE Utility Year Best PQC Best PQC Year PQC Doubling Time (years) Projected PQC Utility Year
Ion traps 0.0003 2024 2.4 2024 100 2023 5.0 2056
Neutral atoms 0.0020 2023 2.3 2025 6,100 2024 1.4 2024
Superconducting circuits 0.0030 2020 2.6 2024 127 2023 2.6 2039
Semiconductor spins 0.0035 2022 1.2 2024 6 2022 2.6 2050

Concept of QEC

  • Encode logical qubits in larger Hilbert space
  • \([[n, k, d]]\) Parameters:
    • \(n\) physical qubits,
    • \(k\) logical qubits,
    • \(d\) distance
  • Detect and correct up to \(\lfloor (d-1)/2 \rfloor\) errors

Experiments Considered

  • Codes:
    • repetition, surface, color, Bacon-Shor
  • Platforms:
    • ions, superconducting, neutral atoms, photons, NV, NMR
  • From 1998 (!!) demonstrations to 2024 milestones

Cumulative Experiment Counts

Accelerating growth, led by superconducting circuits & Recent rise in neutral atoms

QEC Cumulative

Breakdown by platform and code family

QEC Timeline

\([[n, k, d]]\) Distribution

QEC Performance Benchmarks

  • Suppression factor \(\Lambda\):
    • up to 2.15 for surface codes
  • Break-even:
    • logical lifetime 2.4x physical
  • Below threshold:
    • 0.143% logical error per cycle

Conclusion

Summary

  • Orders-of-magnitude improvements in physical metrics
  • Persistent challenges: overhead, logical gates, decoding

Future Directions

  • Incorporate finer metrics: cycle times, \(\Lambda\) factors
  • Community contributions to repository
  • Path to utility-scale FTQC

Experiment Counts per Year

QEC Sunburst